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House of Mirrors · Latest · 2.4
The Media-Betting Complex
The Broadcaster Who Wanted to Be the Bookie
The series
House of Mirrors: what works in sports betting, what doesn't, and why the difference is hard to see.

3.1Next up · Nov 14
The Algorithm’s Goal
How Your Feed Creates a “Get Rich Quick” Narrative

2.4ILLUSIONLatest
The Media-Betting Complex
The Broadcaster Who Wanted to Be the Bookie

2.3ILLUSION
The In-Play Revolution
Who Sees the Game First

2.2ILLUSION
Engineering Engagement
Gamification and the Price of a Free Bet

2.1ILLUSION
The Dopamine Loop
The Neuroscience of the Modern Betting App

1.4CONDITIONAL
The Exchange Loophole
Prediction Markets and the New Shape of the House

1.3
The Day the Dam Broke
The Supreme Court, PASPA, and the American Gold Rush

1.2
The Digital Disruption
How the Internet Ignored the Law

1.1
The American Anomaly
A Century of Prohibition and the Criminal Underground

Intro
The Game and the Gamble

Intro
The Game and the Gamble

1.1
The American Anomaly
A Century of Prohibition and the Criminal Underground

1.2
The Digital Disruption
How the Internet Ignored the Law

1.3
The Day the Dam Broke
The Supreme Court, PASPA, and the American Gold Rush

1.4CONDITIONAL
The Exchange Loophole
Prediction Markets and the New Shape of the House

2.1ILLUSION
The Dopamine Loop
The Neuroscience of the Modern Betting App

2.2ILLUSION
Engineering Engagement
Gamification and the Price of a Free Bet

2.3ILLUSION
The In-Play Revolution
Who Sees the Game First

2.4ILLUSIONLatest
The Media-Betting Complex
The Broadcaster Who Wanted to Be the Bookie

3.1Next up · Nov 14
The Algorithm’s Goal
How Your Feed Creates a “Get Rich Quick” Narrative
Contents
Introduction
IntroThe Game and the GambleRead
Part 1 · The Market: How America Built the House
1.1The American Anomaly: A Century of Prohibition and the Criminal UndergroundRead
1.2The Digital Disruption: How the Internet Ignored the LawRead
1.3The Day the Dam Broke: The Supreme Court, PASPA, and the American Gold RushRead
1.4The Exchange Loophole: Prediction Markets and the New Shape of the HouseRead
Part 2 · The Machine: Why the Default Bettor Loses
Part 3 · The Information War: How Illusions Are Manufactured
3.1The Algorithm’s GoalNext up · Nov 14
3.2The Tout Industrial ComplexIn the works
3.3The Affiliate’s DilemmaIn the works
3.4“Locks” and LiesIn the works
3.5The Gambler’s Fallacy & The Hot HandIn the works
Part 4 · The Test: What a Real Edge Looks Like
- Æ4.1Arming Yourself with Analytical ThinkingIn the works
- Æ4.2The Professional’s PlaybookIn the works
Part 5 · Illusions of Value: The Systems That Fail the Test
- Æ5.1The MartingaleIn the works
- Æ5.2The Parlay SeductionIn the works
- Æ5.3"Fading the Public" & Other Simplistic StrategiesIn the works
- Æ5.4"Insider Information" & "Fixed Matches"In the works
- Æ5.5The Free Square TheoryIn the works
Part 6 · The AI Arms Race: The Machine on Both Sides of the Counter
- Æ6.1The Bookmaker’s BrainIn the works
- Æ6.2Tailing, Fading, or Ignoring Generative AI PicksIn the works
- Æ6.3Best Practices in Utilizing Generative AIIn the works
- Æ6.4The AI Tipster and the "Unbeatable" BotIn the works
- Æ6.5The Unseen PatternIn the works
Part 7 · Real Edges: The Sport-by-Sport Ledger
- Æ7.1Finding an Edge: National Basketball AssociationIn the works
- Æ7.2Finding an Edge: National Football LeagueIn the works
- Æ7.3Finding an Edge: European Football (Soccer)In the works
- Æ7.4Finding an Edge: NCAA Men’s BasketballIn the works
- Æ7.5Finding an Edge: NCAA FootballIn the works
Part 8 · The Practitioners: Charlatans, Sharps and Savants
- Æ8.1Billy WaltersIn the works
- Æ8.2Gadoon "Spanky" KyrollosIn the works
- Æ8.3David "Vegas Dave" OanceaIn the works
- Æ8.4Captain Jack AndrewsIn the works
Part 9 · The Reckoning
- Æ9.1The Price of AccessIn the works
- Æ9.2The Next LineIn the works
- Æ9.3The Integrity ParadoxIn the works